Vulnerability and short clinical outcomes in patients on the deceased-donor kidney transplant waiting list

作者：Hori S, Tomizawa M, Inoue K, Yoneda T, Tachibana A, Oda Y, Onishi K, Morizawa Y, Gotoh D, Nakai Y, Miyake M, Tanaka N, Fujimoto K · 发表于：Clinical and experimental nephrology · 年份：2026 · DOI：10.1007/s10157-026-02834-9 · 研究领域：Kidney Transplantation、Waiting Lists、Frailty、Kidney Failure, Chronic、Humans、Retrospective Studies、Male、Female、Middle Aged、Japan、Body Composition、Nutritional Status

BACKGROUND: With prolonged waiting times for deceased-donor kidney transplantation (DDKT) in Japan, objective data on frailty among wait-listed patients are limited. We assessed frailty using body composition and nutritional measures to identify predictors of 1 year mortality or hospitalization. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 134 patients on the DDKT waiting list starting December 2023. Body composition was assessed using multifrequency bioelectrical impedance analysis. Nutritional indices, including Survival Index, Prognostic Nutritional Index, Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index, and Nutrition Risk Index for Japanese Hemodialysis Patients, were calculated. Handgrip strength was also measured. Death or hospitalization within 1 year was defined as an event. Random forest and SHapley Additive Explanation analyses were used to identify predictors of event occurrence. RESULTS: Among 134 patients (median age 58 years, 68% male), 40% had obesity, 24% had sarcopenia, and nearly 50% exhibited malnutrition. The median dialysis duration was 10 years. During 1 year, 34 events (25%) occurred: seven deaths and 27 hospitalizations secondary to infection, malignancy, or heart failure. The fat mass index/fat-free mass index (FMI/FFMI) ratio was the strongest event predictor, followed by low grip strength, reduced SMI, low Survival Index, and low phase angle. Age, comorbidity index, and several nutritional indices showed limited predictive contributions. CONCLUSIONS: A significant numb...