Modelling the risk posed by Aedes mosquitoes in Europe: Identifying research needs from public health stakeholders and field entomologists

作者：Federico Romiti, Sarah Droghei, Dominic Brass, Cyril Caminade, Giovanni Marini, Bethan Purse, Kamil Erguler, Alessandro Albieri, Paola Angelini, Margo Blaha, Olivier Briët, Mattia Calzolari, Marco Carrieri, Silvio D’Alessio, Martina Ferraguti, Nicola Ferrari, Elisa Fesce, Eleonora Flacio, Miguel Garrido Zornoza, Pachka Hammami, Paul J Huxley, Adolfo Ibáñez‐Justicia, Carla Ippoliti, Kern, Emmanuelle ; Marini, Giovanni ; Da Re, Daniele ; Dorigatti, Ilaria, Eleonora Longo, Alexander Meyer, Ruth Müller, Marta Pardo, Friederike Reuss, Greta Santarelli, Lukas Sprengers, Stephanie Margarete Thomas, Wim Van Bortel, Chiara Virgillito, Yiran Wang, William Wint, Roberto Rosà, Daniele Da Re · 发表于：Acta Tropica · 年份：2026 · DOI：10.1016/j.actatropica.2026.108108 · 被引用次数：2 · 研究领域：Mosquito-borne diseases and control、Insects and Parasite Interactions、Malaria Research and Control

The growing public health burden of Aedes mosquito-borne diseases requires a comprehensive understanding of Aedes species biology, ecology, and vector competence. Eco-epidemiological modelling of Aedes vector species has grown significantly in recent years, driven by the increasing reports of outbreaks in endemic and non-endemic temperate areas, as well as the latitudinal and altitudinal range expansion of these vectors. A prominent example is the Asian tiger mosquito, Aedes albopictus, a competent arbovirus vector that has spread across most continents through the movement of humans and goods. Species distribution models and mechanistic models have been used to predict the spatio-temporal distribution and dynamics of this vector. However, despite the potential of these models to capture the vector distribution and dynamics, integrating them into practical monitoring, surveillance, and vector control activities remains challenging, often due to a lack of communication and model co-development between scientists and public health stakeholders. This paper reports the results of a workshop on vector modelling held in Bologna (Italy) in September 2024, which brought together European experts in disease modelling, public health stakeholders, and medical entomologists. The workshop identified key priorities for advancing the operational use of Aedes-focused quantitative models, including sustained investment in surveillance, improved representation of environmental and biological d...