Operationalizing systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment: Lessons from the MYRIAD-EU framework

作者：Stefan Hochrainer‐Stigler, Robert Šakić Trogrlić, Karina Reiter, Anne Sophie Daloz, David Geurts, Lin Ma, Noemi Padrón-Fumero, Sharon Tatman, Silvia Torresan, Carmen D. Carmen D. Álvarez-Albelo, Veronica Casartelli, Roxana Ciurean, Maria Katherina Dal Barco, Jaime Díaz-Pacheco, Juan Jose Diaz-Hernandez, Pedro Dorta Antequera, Melanie Duncan, Davide Mauro Ferrario, Sara García-González, Stefania Gottardo, Raúl Hernández-Martín, Abel López Díez, David Romero Manrique, Diep Ngoc Nguyen, Marleen de Ruiter, Nikita Strelkovskii, Philip J. Ward · 发表于：iScience · 年份：2026 · DOI：10.1016/j.isci.2026.114935 · 被引用次数：1 · 研究领域：Flood Risk Assessment and Management、Disaster Management and Resilience、Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis

Multi-hazard and multi-risk contexts are increasingly recognized as central to disaster risk reduction and climate adaptation. While there is a recognized need to move beyond single-hazard and single-sector approaches, practical frameworks for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment remain scarce. In response, the Horizon 2020 Multi-hazard and sYstemic framework for enhancing Risk-Informed mAnagement and Decision-making in the E.U. (MYRIAD-EU) project developed a conceptual framework grounded in systemic risk research and structured around a six-step iterative process. This paper critically reflects on its implementation across five European pilot regions. Using project deliverables, a survey, and a focus group, we assess the framework's strengths and limitations and distil lessons learned from both its development and its practical application. These lessons learned are that the framework provides a valuable roadmap for structuring complexity, fostering dialogue with stakeholders, and distinguishing direct from indirect risks. However, challenges remain regarding data, capacity, tool integration, and communication. We conclude with recommendations for improving usability, institutionalization, and long-term uptake.