Peak glacier extinction in the mid-twenty-first century

作者：Lander Van Tricht, Harry Zekollari, Matthias Huss, David R. Rounce, Lilian Schuster, Rodrigo Aguayo, Patrick Schmitt, Fabien Maussion, B. S. Tober, Daniel Farinotti · 发表于：Nature Climate Change · 年份：2025 · DOI：10.1038/s41558-025-02513-9 · 被引用次数：7 · 研究领域：Cryospheric studies and observations、Polar Research and Ecology、Environmental and Cultural Studies in Latin America and Beyond

Projections of glacier change typically focus on mass and area loss, yet the disappearance of individual glaciers directly threatens culturally, spiritually and touristically significant landscapes. Here, using three global glacier models, we project a sharp rise in the number of glaciers disappearing worldwide, peaking between 2041 and 2055 with up to ~4,000 glaciers vanishing annually. Regional variability reflects differences in average glacier size, local climate, the magnitude of warming and inventory completeness.