The urban infection susceptibility index and its application in cities of China

作者：Yan Wei, Jianping Huang, Xinbo Lian, Han Li, Shuoyuan Gao, Shujuan Hu · 发表于：Biosafety and Health · 年份：2025 · DOI：10.1016/j.bsheal.2025.11.002 · 被引用次数：1 · 研究领域：COVID-19 epidemiological studies、Zoonotic diseases and public health、Yersinia bacterium, plague, ectoparasites research

• This study constructs the two-dimensional urban infection susceptibility index integrating human activities and climate change, enabling global-scale identification of potential high-risk areas of epidemics under climate-urbanization synergies. • Under the influence of climate change, about 58% of known infectious diseases in humans are becoming increasingly threatening, with the total number of affected infectious diseases exceeding 200. The simultaneous occurrence of climate change and infectious diseases constitutes a serious compound health crisis, how to accurately identify potential high-risk areas of infectious diseases is urgently needed. • This study constructed a general urban infection susceptibility index (UISI) that firstly considers both human activities and climate change to predict potential high-risk areas of infectious diseases outbreaks. We apply UISI on the prediction of risk areas of corona virus disease 2019 in Lanzhou and Shanghai, which achieved good results. • This study provides innovative approach for identifying and analyzing the high susceptibility risk areas of urban infectious diseases. The urban infection susceptibility index effectively captures the main influencing factors of epidemic spread, demonstrating high accuracy and reliability, providing scientific basis for timely policy formulation and implementation of response measures to infectious disease outbreaks. Infectious diseases pose a serious threat to human health and social safety. ...