[Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use Change in Chengyu Economic Zone and Its Influence on Carbon Reserves].

作者：Fang Wang, Jing Li, Jiannong Wang, Shulin Xiang, Xin-Ting Chen, Xiaoke Yi, Xianmei Huang, Ting Huang · 发表于：PubMed · 年份：2025 · DOI：10.13227/j.hjkx.202407242 · 被引用次数：2 · 研究领域：Land Use and Ecosystem Services、Arctic and Russian Policy Studies、Regional Development and Environment

t， which was mainly attributable to the transfer of forest land to other land. The carbon reserves of cultivated land and forest land， which are the main sources of carbon reserves in the research area， accounted for about 90% of the total. ③ From 2020 to 2030， the areas of cultivated land， water area， and unused land all declined， the area of grassland increased， forest land increased under only the ecological protection scenario， and construction land expanded significantly under the urban development scenario. ④ Under the scenarios of natural development and urban development， carbon reserves decreased significantly， while under the scenario of ecological protection， carbon reserves increased significantly due to lower transfer probability of cultivated land， grassland， and forest land to construction land.