Global, regional, national burden and trends of unintentional injuries from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2035: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study 2021

作者：Wei Qin, Xiugen Liu, Jusen Nong, Daqin Feng, Guoshen Liu, J. H. Xie, Weicheng Huang, Hao Liang, Linlu Yan, Haojun Tang, Fengjun Qin, Fei Huang, Kai Fu, Chang Liu, Chang Liu, Changkai Wei, Bin Yang, Siyu Jian, Liping Liu, Jinfeng Su, Ping Zhang, Jialing Tang, Jiao Zhuo, Qinglin Mo, Chang Liu, Chang Liu, Yongjia Yu, Lun Liang · 发表于：Frontiers in Public Health · 年份：2025 · DOI：10.3389/fpubh.2025.1653491 · 被引用次数：2 · 研究领域：Injury Epidemiology and Prevention、Trauma and Emergency Care Studies、Global Maternal and Child Health

Background: Unintentional injuries, including drowning, falls, and heat-related incidents, constitute a substantial challenge to global health. The present study utilizes data from t the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database to investigate the burden of unintentional injuries spanning the period from 1990 to 2021. It integrates these findings with future projections and advanced analytical approaches. Methods: Epidemiological data pertaining to unintentional injuries, sourced from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database covering the period 1990-2021, were subjected to analysis. This study centered on three core indicators: age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardised mortality rate (ASDR), and age-standardised disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The data were stratified by geographical region and classified in accordance with the Sociodemographic Index (SDI). The analytical approaches employed encompassed the computation of key metrics, trend evaluation, determination of relative variations, as well as the application of sophisticated methodologies for frontier analysis and projections, with all analyses conducted using R software. Results: From 1990 to 2021, the global number of new cases of unintentional injuries rose, while both mortality figures and DALYs cases associated with such injuries trended downward. Age-standardized rates for incidence, mortality, and DALYs also decreased to varying extents. Among level 3 classifications of unintentional inj...