Assessing future land use demands in response to land degradation risk and Socio-Economic impacts

作者：Ziyue Yu, Xiangzheng Deng, Ali Cheshmehzangi, Yunxiao Gao · 发表于：Ecological Indicators · 年份：2025 · DOI：10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113529 · 被引用次数：9 · 研究领域：Land Use and Ecosystem Services、Land Rights and Reforms、Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management

• Construct a comprehensive assessment framework for land degradation sensitivity combined GIS with remote sensing datasets to evaluate land sensitivity to degradation. • Expand the traditional input–output table and embed the land resource account to analyze the land structure demand under socio-economic impacts using CGELUC-DLS model. • Provide reference for prioritizing the land management area based on the carbon sink simulation results. Land degradation in Shanxi Province threatens environmental services and socioeconomic growth. The region is a crucial resource-based location for the development of energy from coal mines in China. However, land degradation threatens sustainable development and ecological security. This study seeks to understand the complicated processes of land degradation and carbon stock variations in Shanxi Province’s degraded areas. The objectives include assessing the sensitivity of land degradation using a range of data (land use, soil, vegetation, topography, climate, and socio-economic) and predicting the dynamics of land systems under various environmental and socio-economic impacts and the spatial distribution of carbon stocks. The results reveal that the severity of land degradation has typically lessened after the implementation of the Grain-for-Green project. The proportion of the most severely degraded land at high risk of degradation decreased from 6.02% to 1.29%. Additionally, the proportion of land that is mildly vulnerable has increase...