Spatial mismatch and drivers of carbon sequestration services supply-demand in China

作者：Qi Pang, Jie Xu, Ying Zhou, M. He · 发表于：Ecological Indicators · 年份：2025 · DOI：10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113389 · 被引用次数：19 · 研究领域：Land Use and Ecosystem Services、Forest Management and Policy、Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management

• Carbon Sequestration Supply-Demand Analysis: The study assessed carbon sequestration supply and demand in China (2000–2020) using the CASA model and carbon emission coefficient method. • Fluctuating Supply and Rising Demand: Carbon sequestration supply showed an upward trend, while demand continuously increased, leading to widespread mismatches, particularly in eastern and urban regions. • Key Factors: Supply was primarily influenced by the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and demand was linked to population density (POP) and GDP. • Policy Recommendations: Suggested measures include enhancing ecosystem protection, promoting sustainable land practices, and developing carbon markets to address supply–demand mismatches. • Implications for “Dual Carbon” Goals: The findings offer insights for policies supporting China’s carbon peak and neutrality targets. This study investigates the spatial mismatch between the supply and demand of carbon sequestration services in China, a critical issue for achieving the country’s “dual carbon” goals of peak carbon emissions by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. Using the Carnegie-Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model and the carbon emission coefficient method, the supply and demand of carbon sequestration services from 2000 to 2020 were quantitatively assessed. The supply–demand ratio index (SDI) and Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA) were employed to analyze the spatial distribution and intensity of the supply–demand ...