The importance of tropical tree-ring chronologies for global change research

作者：Peter Groenendijk, Flurin Babst, Valérie Trouet, Ze‐Xin Fan, Daniela Granato‐Souza, Giuliano Maselli Locosselli, Mulugeta Mokria, Shankar Panthi, Nathsuda Pumijumnong, Abrham Abiyu, Rodolfo Acuña-Soto, Eduardo Adenesky Filho, Raquel Alfaro‐Sánchez, Claudio Roberto Anholetto, José Roberto Vieira Aragão, Gabriel Assis-Pereira, Claudia C. Astudillo-Sánchez, Ana Carolina Maioli Campos Barbosa, Nathan de Oliveira Barreto, Giovanna Battipaglia, Hans Beeckman, Paulo César Botosso, Nils Bourland, Achim Bräuning, Roel Brienen, Matthew Brookhouse, Supaporn Buajan, Brendan M. Buckley, J. Julio Camarero, Artemio Carrillo-Parra, Gregório Ceccantini, Librado R. Centeno-Erguera, Julián Cerano‐Paredes, Rosalinda Cervantes-Martínez, Wirong Chanthorn, Yajun Chen, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra, Eladio H. Cornejo-Oviedo, Otoniel Cortés-Cortés, Clayane Matos Costa, Camille Couralet, Doris B. Crispin‐DelaCruz, Rosanne D’Arrigo, Diego A. David, M. De Ridder, Jorge I. del Valle, Oscar A. Díaz-Carrillo, Mário Dobner, Jean‐Louis Doucet, Oliver Dünisch, Brian J. Enquist, Karin Esemann‐Quadros, Gerardo Esquivel-Arriaga, Adeline Fayolle, Tatiele Anete Bergamo Fenilli, M. Eugenia Ferrero, Esther Fichtler, Patrick M. Finnegan, Cláudia Fontana, Kainana S. Francisco, Pei‐Li Fu, Franklin Galvão, Aster Gebrekirstos, Jorge A. Giraldo, Emanuel Gloor, Milena Godoy-Veiga, Anthony Guerra, Kristof Haneca, Grant L. Harley, Ingo Heinrich, Gerhard Helle, José Ciro Hernández‐Díaz, Bruna Hornink, Wannes Hubau, Janet G. Inga, Mahmuda Islam, Yumei Jiang, Mark Kaib, Zakia Hassan Khamisi, Marcin Koprowski, Eva Layme, A. Joshua Leffler, Gauthier Ligot, Cláudio Sérgio Lisi, Neil J. Loader, Francisco de Almeida Lobo, Tomaz Longhi-Santos, Lidio López, María I. López-Hernández, José Lousada, Rubén D. Manzanedo, Amanda K. Marcon, Justin T. Maxwell, Hooz A. Mendivelso, Omar N. Mendoza-Villa, Ítallo Romany Nunes Menezes, Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia, Eddy Moors, Miyer Moreno, Miguel Ángel Muñiz-Castro, Cristina Nabais, Anuttara Nathalang, Justine Ngoma, Francisco de Carvalho Nogueira, Juliano Morales de Oliveira, Gabriela Morais Olmedo, Daigard Ricardo Ortega Rodríguez, Carmen Eugênia Rodríguez Ortiz, Mariana Alves Pagotto, Kathelyn Paredes-Villanueva, Gonzalo Pérez‐de‐Lis, Laura Patricia Ponce Calderón, Leif Armando Portal‐Cahuana, Darwin Pucha-Cofrep, Paulo Quadri, Mizanur Rahman, Jorge A. Ramírez, Edilson J. Requena‐Rojas, Judith Reyes-Flores, Adauto de Souza Ribeiro, Iain Robertson, Fidel A. Roig, José Guilherme Roquette, Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho, Raúl Sánchez‐Salguero, Ute Sass‐Klaassen, Jochen Schöngart, Marcelo Callegari Scipioni, Paul R. Sheppard, Lucas C. R. Silva, Franziska Slotta, Leroy Soria-Díaz, Luciana K.V.S. Sousa, James H. Speer‬, Matthew D. Therrell, Ginette Ticse‐Otarola, Mário Tomazello Filho, Max C. A. Torbenson, Pantana Tor‐ngern, Ramzi Touchan, Jan Van den Bulcke, Lorenzo Vázquez‐Selem, Adín H. Velázquez-Pérez, Alejandro Venegas‐González, Ricardo Villalba, José Villanueva‐Díaz, Mart Vlam, George L. Vourlitis, Christian Wehenkel, Tommy H. G. Wils, Erika S. Zavaleta, Eshetu Asfaw Zewdu, Yong‐Jiang Zhang, Zhe‐Kun Zhou, Pieter A. Zuidema · 发表于：Quaternary Science Reviews · 年份：2025 · DOI：10.1016/j.quascirev.2025.109233 · 被引用次数：31 · 研究领域：Tree-ring climate responses、Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics、Geology and Paleoclimatology Research

Tropical forests and woodlands are key components of the global carbon and water cycles. Yet, how climate change affects these biogeochemical cycles is poorly understood because of scarce long-term observations of tropical tree growth. The recent rise in tropical tree-ring studies may help to fill this gap, but a large-scale quantitative analysis of their potential in global change research is missing. We compiled a list of all tropical tree species known to form annual tree rings and built a network encompassing 492 tropical ring-width chronologies to evaluate the potential to generate insights on climate sensitivity of woody productivity and to build centuries-long reconstructions of climate variability. We assess chronology quality, length, and climatic representativeness and explore how these change along climatic gradients. Finally, we applied species-distribution modeling to identify regions with potential for tree-ring studies in ecological and climatic studies. The number of tropical chronologies has rapidly increased, with ∼400 added over the past two decades. Yet, tree-ring studies are biased towards high-elevation locations, with gaps in warmer and wetter climates, on the African continent, and for angiosperm species. The longest chronologies with strongest climate signals (i.e., synchronous growth variations among trees) are from cool regions. In wet regions, climate signals and precipitation sensitivity decrease. Most tropical regions harbor 5–15 (and up to 80) s...