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Construction of a nomogram prediction model for early postoperative stoma complications of colorectal cancer

作者:M. Bâ, Wen-Lin Zheng, Yuling Zhang, Linlin Zhang, Jingjing Chen, Jie Ma, Jiali Huang · 发表于:World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery · 年份:2024 · DOI:10.4240/wjgs.v17.i1.100547 · 被引用次数:5 · 研究领域:Stoma care and complications、Colorectal Cancer Surgical Treatments、Enhanced Recovery After Surgery

BACKGROUND Postoperative enterostomy is increasing in patients with colorectal cancer, but there is a lack of a model that can predict the probability of early complications. AIM To explore the factors influencing early postoperative stoma complications in colorectal cancer patients and to construct a nomogram prediction model for predicting the probability of these complications. METHODS A retrospective study of 462 patients who underwent postoperative ostomy for colorectal cancer in the Gastrointestinal Department of the Anhui Provincial Cancer Hospital. The patients’ basic information, surgical details, pathological results, and preoperative inflammatory and nutritional indicators were reviewed. We used univariate and multivariate logistic regression to analyze the risk factors for early postoperative stoma complications in colorectal cancer patients and constructed a nomogram prediction model to predict the probability of these complications. RESULTS Binary logistic regression analysis revealed that diabetes [odds ratio (OR) = 3.088, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.419-6.719], preoperative radiotherapy and chemotherapy (OR = 6.822, 95%CI: 2.171-21.433), stoma type (OR = 2.118, 95%CI: 1.151-3.898), Nutritional risk screening 2002 score (OR = 2.034, 95%CI: 1.082-3.822) and prognostic nutritional index (OR = 0.486, 95%CI: 0.254-0.927) were risk factors for early stoma complications after colorectal cancer surgery (P < 0.05). On the basis of these results, a prediction mod...