Online Purchase Behavior Prediction Model Based on Recurrent Neural Network and Naive Bayes

作者：Chaohui Zhang, Jiyuan Liu, Shichen Zhang · 发表于：Journal of theoretical and applied electronic commerce research · 年份：2024 · DOI：10.3390/jtaer19040168 · 被引用次数：8 · 研究领域：Recommender Systems and Techniques、Customer churn and segmentation、Digital Marketing and Social Media

In the current competition process of e-commerce platforms, the technical and algorithmic wars that can quickly grasp user needs and accurately recommend target commodities are the core tools of platform competition. At the same time, the existing online purchase behavior prediction models lack consideration of time series features. This paper combines the Recurrent Neural Network, which is more suitable for the commodity recommendation scenario of the e-commerce platform, with Naive Bayes, which is simple in logic and efficient in operation and constructs the online purchase behavior prediction model RNN-NB, which can consider the features of time series. The RNN-NB model is trained and tested using 3 million time series data with purchase behavior provided by the Ali Tianchi big data platform. The prediction effect of the RNN-NB model and Naive Bayes model is evaluated and compared respectively under the same experimental conditions. The results show that the overall prediction effect of the RNN-NB model is better and more stable. In addition, through the analysis of user time series features, it can be found that the possibility of user purchase is negatively correlated with the length of time series, and merchants should pay more attention to those users with shorter time series in commodity recommendation and targeted offers. The contributions of this paper are as follows: (1) By constructing an online purchasing behavior model RNN-NB, which integrates the N vs 1 structu...