A nomogram model for predicting the risk of axillary lymph node metastasis in patients with early breast cancer and cN0 status

作者：Ziran Zhang, Qin Jiang, Jie Wang, Xinxia Yang · 发表于：Oncology Letters · 年份：2024 · DOI：10.3892/ol.2024.14478 · 被引用次数：5 · 研究领域：Breast Cancer Treatment Studies、Breast Lesions and Carcinomas、Global Cancer Incidence and Screening

Axillary staging is commonly performed via sentinel lymph node biopsy for patients with early breast cancer (EBC) presenting with clinically negative axillary lymph nodes (cN0). The present study aimed to investigate the association between axillary lymph node metastasis (ALNM), clinicopathological characteristics of tumors and results from axillary ultrasound (US) scanning. Moreover, a nomogram model was developed to predict the risk for ALNM based on relevant factors. Data from 998 patients who met the inclusion criteria were retrospectively reviewed. These patients were then randomly divided into a training and validation group in a 7:3 ratio. In the training group, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to identify the cutoff values for continuous measurement data. R software was used to identify independent ALNM risk variables in the training group using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The selected independent risk factors were incorporated into a nomogram. The model differentiation was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC), while calibration was evaluated through calibration charts and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. To assess clinical applicability, a decision curve analysis (DCA) was conducted. Internal verification was performed via 1000 rounds of bootstrap resampling. Among the 998 patients with EBC, 228 (22.84%) developed ALNM. Multivariate logistic analysis identified lymphovascular invasion, axillary US findings, max...