Burden of malignant mesothelioma in China during 1990–2019 and the projections through 2029

作者：Qiulin Huang, Youli Chen, Liyou Lian, Qiqi Lei, Jinfei Chen, Licun Wu, Kari Hemminki, Jianguang Ji, Tianhui Chen · 发表于：Journal of the National Cancer Center · 年份：2024 · DOI：10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.003 · 被引用次数：13 · 研究领域：Occupational and environmental lung diseases、Air Quality and Health Impacts、Multiple and Secondary Primary Cancers

Objective: To provide the most up-to-date data on the burden of malignant mesothelioma (MM) and the projections through 2029 in China. Methods: Data on patients diagnosed with MM from China during 1990-2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database, including annual cases and deaths data and age-standardized rates of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with MM among different age groups. Temporal trends during 1990-2019 were analyzed by the Joinpoint regression models using 95% confidence interval (CI), while the projections through 2029 were calculated by the Bayesian age-period-cohort model. Data on the production and consumption of asbestos in China were obtained from the United States Geological Survey on Mineral Commodity Summaries during 1996-2023. Results: We observed a significant elevation in incident new cases and deaths over the last 3 decades, increasing from 1193 in 1990 to 2815 in 2019 for incident cases and from 1134 in 1990 to 2773 in 2019 for death cases. We found a roughly 6% increase in the proportion of incident cases for those aged >70 years (30% in 2019 versus 24% in 1990), while for the proportion of deaths similar elevation for those aged >70 years was found. Additionally, men had significantly higher DALYs due to MM across age groups compared with women. Asbestos consumption in China dramatically dropped since 2012 and reached the bottom in 2017 with 230 kilotons. By 2029, the projected...