Superior predictive value of estimated pulse wave velocity for all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality risk in U.S. general adults

作者：Wenke Cheng, Fanliang Kong, Huachun Pan, Sisi Luan, Shumin Yang, Siwei Chen · 发表于：BMC Public Health · 年份：2024 · DOI：10.1186/s12889-024-18071-2 · 被引用次数：48 · 研究领域：Cardiovascular Health and Disease Prevention、Non-Invasive Vital Sign Monitoring、Heart rate and cardiovascular health

BACKGROUND: Estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV) has been proposed as a potential approach to estimate carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity. However, the potential of ePWV in predicting all-cause mortality (ACM) and cardiovascular disease mortality (CVM) in the general population is unclear. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study using the data of 33,930 adults (age ≥ 20 years) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2014 until the end of December 2019. The study outcomes included ACM and CVM. Survey-weighted Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to determine the association between ePWV and ACM and CVM. To further investigate whether ePWV was superior to traditional risk factors in predicting ACM and CVM, comparisons between ePWV and the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) models were performed. Integrated Discriminant Improvement (IDI) and Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) were employed to analyze differences in predictive ability between models. RESULTS: The weighted mean age of the 33,930 adults included was 45.2 years, and 50.28% of all participants were men. In the fully adjusted Cox regression model, each 1 m/s increase in ePWV was associated with 50% and 49% increases in the risk of ACM (HR 1.50; 95% CI, 1.45-1.54) and CVM (HR 1.49; 95% CI, 1.41-1.57), respectively. After adjusting for FRS, each 1 m/s increase in ePWV was...