Evolution and coupled matching of ecosystem service supply and demand at different spatial scales in the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration, China

作者：Shuwan Yan, Hao Chen, Quan Quan, Jian Liu · 发表于：Ecological Indicators · 年份：2023 · DOI：10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.111052 · 被引用次数：31 · 研究领域：Land Use and Ecosystem Services、Urban Green Space and Health、Economic and Environmental Valuation

Ecosystem services are the environmental basis of human living and sustainable development, and the coupled matching of ecosystem service supply and demand (ESSD) plays an important role in socioeconomic and eco-environmental development. As one of the major regions supplying ecological products in China, the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration (SPUA) has unique geographical advantages and a strategic position. Based on high-resolution land-use and regional socioeconomic development data in SPUA, this study used value quantity assessment and an ecosystem service demand model to quantify ecosystem service supply (ESS) and ecosystem service demand (ESD) at both the city and county scale in 2000, 2010 and 2020. Meanwhile, the CA-Markov model was used to predict the potential land-use, the Moran index and Getis-Ord Gi* index were used to analyze spatial clusters of ESS and ESD, and a coupling coordination degree model and matching index were used to analyze the relationship between ESS and ESD. The results show that: (1) The most prominent land-use change in SPUA from 2000 to 2020 was the conversion of cropland to other land-use types; the process of land-use change was more intense from 2010 to 2020 than from 2000 to 2010; and the center of city activities might expand by 2030, which is related to the regional development plan. (2) The ESS was related to the regional natural conditions. Coastal regions or regions with abundant natural resources in SPUA had higher ESS, and the...