Global, regional and national temporal trends in prevalence for musculoskeletal disorders in women of childbearing age, 1990–2019: an age-period-cohort analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

作者：Fan Cao, Dapeng Li, Guo‐Cui Wu, Yisheng He, Yuchen Liu, Jingjing Hou, Qin-Yu Ni, Liming Tao, Zhengxuan Jiang, Hai-Feng Pan · 发表于：Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases · 年份：2023 · DOI：10.1136/ard-2023-224530 · 被引用次数：98 · 研究领域：Pregnancy-related medical research、Preterm Birth and Chorioamnionitis、Occupational Health and Performance

Objectives To provide an overview and in-depth analysis of temporal trends in prevalence of musculoskeletal (MSK) disorders in women of childbearing age (WCBA) at global, regional and national levels over the last 30 years, with a special focus on their associations with age, period and birth cohort. Methods Estimates and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for MSK disorders prevalence in WCBA were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2019. An age-period-cohort model was adopted to estimate the overall annual percentage change of prevalence (net drift, % per year), annual percentage change of prevalence within each age group (local drift, % per year), fitted longitudinal age-specific rates adjusted for period deviations (age effects) and period/cohort relative risks (period/cohort effects) from 1990 to 2019. Results In 2019, the global number of MSK disorders prevalence in WCBA was 354.57 million (95% UI: 322.64 to 387.68). Fifty countries had at least one million prevalence, with India, China, the USA, Indonesia and Brazil being the highest accounting for 51.03% of global prevalence. From 1990 to 2019, a global net drift of MSK disorders prevalence in WCBA was −0.06% (95% CI: −0.07% to −0.05%) per year, ranging from −0.09% (95% CI: −0.10% to −0.07%) in low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI) region to 0.10% (95% CI: 0.08% to 0.12%) in high-middle SDI region, with 138 countries presenting increasing trends, 24 presenting decreasing trends a...