Prognostic Value of Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio for Predicting 90-Day Poor Outcomes in Hospitalized Patients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

作者：Xiaoyi Feng, Huaye Xiao, Yishan Duan, Qinxue Li, Xuemei Ou · 发表于：International Journal of COPD · 年份：2023 · DOI：10.2147/copd.s399671 · 被引用次数：34 · 研究领域：Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research、Inflammatory Biomarkers in Disease Prognosis、Inflammation biomarkers and pathways

Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for poor outcomes within 90-day in hospitalized patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Methods: A retrospective study including 503 AECOPD patients was performed, and the subjects' clinical characteristics were collected. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for 90-day poor outcomes in patients with AECOPD. Receiver-operating characteristic curves (ROC) and areas under the curves (AUC) were used to assess the ability of different biomarkers to predict the risk of 90-day mortality, readmission and re-exacerbation in patients with AECOPD. Results: During the follow-up, 188 patients (38.4%) redeveloped exacerbations, 112 patients (22.9%) were readmitted, and 20 patients (4.1%) died directly resulted from COPD or COPD-related causes. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that age>72 years (OR: 14.817, 95% CI: 1.561-140.647), NLR>14.17 (OR: 9.611, 95% CI: 2.303-40.113), EOS<0.15% (OR: 8.621, 95% CI: 3.465-34.913) and BNP>2840ng/L (OR: 5.291, 95% CI: 1.367-20.474) at discharge were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in AECOPD patients. NLR was the optimal biomarker for predicting 90-day mortality with an AUC of 0.802 (95% CI: 0.631-0.973). Using 14.17 as the critical value of NLR, the sensitivity was 76.7%, and the specificity was 88.9%. Compared with mortality, NLR had no significant advantage in ...