Association of body mass index trajectory and hypertension risk: A systematic review of cohort studies and network meta-analysis of 89,094 participants

作者：Ling Tan, Linzi Long, Xiaochang Ma, Wenwen Yang, Fei-fei Liao, Yuxuan Peng, Jieming Lu, A-ling Shen, AN Dong-qing, Hua Qu, Changgeng Fu · 发表于：Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine · 年份：2023 · DOI：10.3389/fcvm.2022.941341 · 被引用次数：17 · 研究领域：Health, Environment, Cognitive Aging、Blood Pressure and Hypertension Studies、Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins

Introduction Body mass index (BMI) trajectories, such as non-linear time trends and nonlinear changes in BMI with age, can provide information on the underlying temporal health patterns. The relationship between BMI trajectories and the risk of hypertension remains controversial. Methods PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, Scopus, and Web of Science databases were searched from their inception to January 31, 2022. We categorized BMI trajectories as “Stable high,” “table normal,” “Stable low,” “Fluctuated (sharp increase),” and “Fluctuated (elevated-decrease).” The main outcome was the relative risk for the prevalence of hypertension in the different BMI trajectories. Potential sources of heterogeneity were examined using meta-regression and subgroup analysis. A publication bias test and Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach were also used. Results The 18 cohort studies included 89,094 participants. Compared with the “Stable normal” trajectory, “Stable high,” “Fluctuated (sharp increase),” and “Fluctuated (elevated-decrease)” trajectories were associated with an increased relative risk of hypertension: [RR (95% CI)]: 1.80 (1.29 2.50), p < 0.001; 1.53 (1.27 1.83), p < 0.001; 1.30 (1.24 1.37), p = 0.001, respectively. The “Stable low” trajectory was associated with a reduced risk of hypertension [0.83 (0.79 0.83), p < 0.001]. The “Stable high” trajectory (surface under the cumulative ranking curve = 88.1%) had the highest p...