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Enhancement of the International prognostic index with β2-microglobulin, platelet count and red blood cell distribution width: a new prognostic model for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in the rituximab era

作者:Haizhu Chen, Qiaofeng Zhong, Yu Zhou, Yan Qin, Jianliang Yang, Peng Liu, Xiaohui He, Shengyu Zhou, Changgong Zhang, Lin Gui, Sheng Yang, Liqiang Zhou, Yuankai Shi · 发表于:BMC Cancer · 年份:2022 · DOI:10.1186/s12885-022-09693-z · 被引用次数:12 · 研究领域:Lymphoma Diagnosis and Treatment、Inflammatory Biomarkers in Disease Prognosis、Viral-associated cancers and disorders

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to propose a new user-friendly, cost effective and robust risk model to facilitate risk stratification for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) treated with frontline R-CHOP regimens. METHODS: Data on 998 patients with de novo DLBCL diagnosed between Jan 1st, 2005 and Dec 31st, 2018 at our center, who received frontline R-CHOP or R-CHOP-like regimens, were retrospectively collected. Patients were randomly divided into the training cohort (n = 701) and the validation cohort (n = 297). A new prognostic model for overall survival (OS) was built based on the training cohort. The performance of the new model was compared with International prognostic index (IPI), revised IPI (R-IPI) and National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN)-IPI (NCCN-IPI). The new model was validated in the validation cohort. RESULTS: The multivariate analysis of the training cohort showed that the IPI, β2-microglobulin, platelet count and red blood cell distribution width were independent factors for OS, which were incorporated into the new prognostic model. Patients were stratified into low risk, low-intermediate risk, high-intermediate risk, high risk and very high risk groups, with distinct survival outcomes. The new model achieved good C-indexes for 5-year OS prediction of 0.750 (95%CI 0.719-0.781) and 0.733 (95%CI 0.682-0.784) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, and displayed well-fitted calibration curves. The C-index and the time-dependent ROC analysis...