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Nomogram for Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Acute ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Complicated by Cardiogenic Shock after Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

作者:Yudan Wang, Litian Liu, Xinning Li, Yi Dang, Yingxiao Li, Jiaqi Wang, Xiaoyong Qi · 发表于:Journal of Interventional Cardiology · 年份:2022 · DOI:10.1155/2022/8994106 · 被引用次数:10 · 研究领域:Mechanical Circulatory Support Devices、Acute Myocardial Infarction Research、Cardiac Structural Anomalies and Repair

Background: Mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients with cardiogenic shock (CS) remains high. However, the real-world risk factors for mortality in these patients are poorly defined. Objective: The aim of this study is to establish a clinical prognostic nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality after primary PCI in STEMI patients with CS. Methods: This retrospective, multicenter, observational study included STEMI patients with CS who underwent PCI at 39 hospitals in Hebei Province from January 2018 to December 2019. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to identify the factors associated with in-hospital mortality. These factors were then incorporated into a nomogram and its performance was evaluated by discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Results: < 0.05). In the training set, the nomogram showed a C-index of 0.819, goodness-of-fit of 0.08, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.819 (95%CI = 0.759-0.879). In the testing set, the C-index was 0.842, goodness-of-fit was 0.585, and AUC was 0.842 (95%CI = 0.715-0.970). The results indicate that the nomogram had good discrimination and good prediction accuracy and could achieve a good net benefit. Conclusion: We established and validated a nomogram that provided individual prediction of in-hospital mortality for STEMI patients with CS after PCI in a Chinese population.