Spatial-temporal evolution of ecosystem services and its potential drivers: A geospatial perspective from Bairin Left Banner, China

作者：Chenli Xue, Huiqiong Zhang, Simin Wu, Jianping Chen, Xinghua Chen · 发表于：Ecological Indicators · 年份：2022 · DOI：10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108760 · 被引用次数：40 · 研究领域：Land Use and Ecosystem Services、Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management、Economic and Environmental Valuation

Ecosystem services (ESs) declines have been widely recognized due to natural and human drivers and in turn negatively affected human well-beings, particularly in semi-arid regions. However, in which way and to what extent these drivers influence ESs spatially remains to be further demonstrated. This work aims to address this gap by capturing variations of geographic scales in this process. In this study, the CA-Markov and InVEST () model were combined to assess four key ESs and ecosystem service index (ESI) from 2000 to 2035, and spatial pattern of ESI were identified under different development scenarios. The Spearman correlation was conducted to analyze the tradeoffs and synergies of ESs changes among their historical associations. The multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) was adopted to explore the spatial heterogeneity of responses on ESI from various drivers. The results are as follows: (1) From 2000 to 2020, ESI decreased significantly in the north resulted from the deforestation, while there was a growing tendency of emergence for ESI hotspots in the south due to the implementation of ecological management measures. Compared to other scenarios, fewer cold spots of ESI variation were observed in the ecological preservation scenario from 2020 to 2035 especially in northern forests. (2) The significant positive correlations between habitat quality, soil conservation and carbon storage were strengthened while negative correlations between habitat quality, c...