A multi-hazard framework for spatial-temporal impact analysis

作者：Silvia De Angeli, Bruce D. Malamud, Lauro Rossi, Faith E. Taylor, Eva Trasforini, Roberto Rudari · 发表于：International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · 年份：2022 · DOI：10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102829 · 被引用次数：273 · 研究领域：Flood Risk Assessment and Management、Disaster Management and Resilience、Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research

This paper aims to provide a five-step conceptual framework to analyze the impacts to the built environment from multi-hazard interactions. Our methodology includes a critical literature review and stakeholder workshops. This framework's five steps are the following: (I) identify hazards and their interactions, (II) multi-hazard modelling, (III) analysis of the hazards' spatio-temporal evolution of impacts, (IV) identification of impact interactions, (V) a multi-hazard risk or impact assessment. Our approach is based on the systematic analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution of hazards to determine potential impact interactions. In Step IV, we classify the spatial-temporal overlap of hazard impacts into four types: (i) spatial-temporal overlapping, (ii) temporal (but not spatial) overlapping, (iii) spatial overlapping (with residual and subsequent damage), (iv) independent single hazards. Building on current multi-hazard approaches and guidelines, this framework is generally applicable to a broad range of hazards, includes both hazard and impact interactions, and considers residual damage and recovery processes. The framework is applied to a real-world case study in Po Valley, Italy, of a hypothetical damage scenario from an earthquake shock that weakens the levee system, and then combined with intense rain results in a levee collapse and flood. The framework application is supported by a visualization of each step, useful to identify key elements for multi-hazard impac...