Boosting Poisson regression models with telematics car driving data

作者：Guangyuan Gao, He Wang, Mario V. Wüthrich · 发表于：Machine Learning · 年份：2021 · DOI：10.1007/s10994-021-05957-0 · 被引用次数：46 · 研究领域：Probability and Risk Models、Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management、Insurance and Financial Risk Management

Abstract With the emergence of telematics car driving data, insurance companies have started to boost classical actuarial regression models for claim frequency prediction with telematics car driving information. In this paper, we propose two data-driven neural network approaches that process telematics car driving data to complement classical actuarial pricing with a driving behavior risk factor from telematics data. Our neural networks simultaneously accommodate feature engineering and regression modeling which allows us to integrate telematics car driving data in a one-step approach into the claim frequency regression models. We conclude from our numerical analysis that both classical actuarial risk factors and telematics car driving data are necessary to receive the best predictive models. This emphasizes that these two sources of information interact and complement each other.