Modelling spatial patterns of correlations between concentrations of heavy metals in mosses and atmospheric deposition in 2010 across Europe

作者：Stefan Nickel, Winfried Schröder, Roman Schmalfuß, Maike Saathoff, Harry Harmens, Gina Mills, Marina Frontasyeva, Lambe Barandovski, Oleg Blum, A. Carballeira, Ludwig De Temmerman, A.M. Dunaev, Antoaneta Ene, Hilde Fagerli, Barbara Godzik, Ilia Ilyin, Sander Jonkers, Zvonka Jeran, Pranvera Lazo, Sébastien Leblond, Siiri Liiv, B. Maňkovská, Encarnación Núñez‐Olivera, Juha Piispanen, Jarmo Poikolainen, I. Popescu, Flora Qarri, Jesús Miguel Santamaría, Martijn Schaap, Mitja Skudnik, Zdravko Špirić, Trajče Stafilov, E. Steinnes, Claudia Stihi, Ivan Suchara, Hilde Thelle Uggerud, Harald G. Zechmeister · 发表于：Environmental Sciences Europe · 年份：2018 · DOI：10.1186/s12302-018-0183-8 · 被引用次数：60 · 研究领域：Lichen and fungal ecology、Bryophyte Studies and Records、Peatlands and Wetlands Ecology

BACKGROUND: This paper aims to investigate the correlations between the concentrations of nine heavy metals in moss and atmospheric deposition within ecological land classes covering Europe. Additionally, it is examined to what extent the statistical relations are affected by the land use around the moss sampling sites. Based on moss data collected in 2010/2011 throughout Europe and data on total atmospheric deposition modelled by two chemical transport models (EMEP MSC-E, LOTOS-EUROS), correlation coefficients between concentrations of heavy metals in moss and in modelled atmospheric deposition were specified for spatial subsamples defined by ecological land classes of Europe (ELCE) as a spatial reference system. Linear discriminant analysis (LDA) and logistic regression (LR) were then used to separate moss sampling sites regarding their contribution to the strength of correlation considering the areal percentage of urban, agricultural and forestry land use around the sampling location. After verification LDA models by LR, LDA models were used to transform spatial information on the land use to maps of potential correlation levels, applicable for future network planning in the European Moss Survey. RESULTS: Correlations between concentrations of heavy metals in moss and in modelled atmospheric deposition were found to be specific for elements and ELCE units. Land use around the sampling sites mainly influences the correlation level. Small radiuses around the sampling sites e...