Hierarchic Interaction of Factors Associated With Liver Decompensation After Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

作者：Davide Citterio, Antonio Facciorusso, Carlo Sposito, Roberta Rota, Sherrie Bhoori, Vincenzo Mazzaferro · 发表于：JAMA Surgery · 年份：2016 · DOI：10.1001/jamasurg.2016.1121 · 被引用次数：166 · 研究领域：Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment and Prognosis、Liver Disease and Transplantation、Organ Transplantation Techniques and Outcomes

IMPORTANCE: Liver resection is the treatment of choice for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in well-compensated liver cirrhosis. Postoperative liver decompensation (LD) is the most representative and least predictable cause of morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVES: To determine the hierarchy and interaction of factors associated with the risk for LD and to define applicable risk classes among surgical candidates. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective review collected data from 543 patients with chronic liver disease who underwent hepatic resection for HCC from January 1, 2000, through December 31, 2013, in a tertiary comprehensive cancer center. Final follow-up was completed on January 31, 2015, and data were assessed from February 1 to 28, 2015. MAJOR OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Preoperative prognostic factors and risk stratification for postoperative LD. Multivariate logistic regression was performed, and the independent risk factors for LD were included in a recursive partitioning analysis model. Results were validated by means of 10-fold cross-validation. RESULTS: The analysis included 543 patients, of whom 411 (75.7%) were male, 132 (24.3%) were female, and the median age was 68 (interquartile range, 62-73) years. An independent association with LD was found for major hepatectomy (odds ratio [OR], 2.41; 95% CI, 1.17-4.30; P = .01), portal hypertension (OR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.13-4.30; P = .01), and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score greater than 9 (OR, 2.2...