A Study of Export Structure Risks of China’s Wood Forest Products during the Period 1995-2009

作者：Xiaoyan Gu · 发表于：资源科学 · 年份：2011 · 研究领域：Global Trade and Competitiveness

The export of China’s wood forest products is highly reliant on labor-intensive products, such as wooden furniture, and concentrates in a small market. This situation would lead to trade frictions such as anti-dumping and technical barriers to trade. At the same time, the forest products processing industry is facing the threat of resource security because of its residual trade characteristics. Due to the financial crisis, labor-intensive and capital and technology-intensive exports of wood forest products decreased greatly in 2009. In the current situation, investigating the risk of the export trade structure and proposing the countermeasures to optimize the export structure are of important practical significance. Based on data during the period 1995-2009, we constructed an evaluation index system of the export structure of China’s wood forest products, including export commodities structure index, Lawrence index, reaction index of export products, dispersion index of export products, intra-industry trade index, matching index of export markets, reaction index of export market, and dispersion index of export market. We used the efficiency coefficient method and principal component analysis method to estimate comprehensive efficacy coefficient. Results show that the trend of the risk of the export structure was clearly increasing and the structure of export trade in 2009 was in a high risk state. We proposed strategies that would improve the export structure from three areas...