Import Competition and the Great US Employment Sag of the 2000s

作者：Daron Acemoğlu, David Autor, David A. Dorn, Gordon Hanson, Brendan M. Price · 发表于：Journal of Labor Economics · 年份：2015 · DOI：10.1086/682384 · 被引用次数：1132 · 研究领域：Global trade and economics、Economic Growth and Productivity、Regional Economics and Spatial Analysis

Even before the Great Recession, US employment growth was unimpressive. Between 2000 and 2007, the economy gave back the considerable employment gains achieved during the 1990s, with a historic contraction in manufacturing employment being a prime contributor to the slump. We estimate that import competition from China, which surged after 2000, was a major force behind both recent reductions in US manufacturing employment and—through input-output linkages and other general equilibrium channels—weak overall US job growth. Our central estimates suggest job losses from rising Chinese import competition over 1999–2011 in the range of 2.0–2.4 million.