Anthropogenic sulfur dioxide emissions: 1850–2005

作者：Steven J. Smith, J. van Aardenne, Zbigniew Klimont, R. J. Andres, April Volke, Silvia Arias · 发表于：Atmospheric chemistry and physics · 年份：2011 · DOI：10.5194/acp-11-1101-2011 · 被引用次数：985 · 研究领域：Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols、Air Quality and Health Impacts、Vehicle emissions and performance

Abstract. Sulfur aerosols impact human health, ecosystems, agriculture, and global and regional climate. A new annual estimate of anthropogenic global and regional sulfur dioxide emissions has been constructed spanning the period 1850–2005 using a bottom-up mass balance method, calibrated to country-level inventory data. Global emissions peaked in the early 1970s and decreased until 2000, with an increase in recent years due to increased emissions in China, international shipping, and developing countries in general. An uncertainty analysis was conducted including both random and systemic uncertainties. The overall global uncertainty in sulfur dioxide emissions is relatively small, but regional uncertainties ranged up to 30%. The largest contributors to uncertainty at present are emissions from China and international shipping. Emissions were distributed on a 0.5° grid by sector for use in coordinated climate model experiments.