Computing a Probability Distribution for the Start of the Rains from a Markov Chain Model for Precipitation

作者：Roger D. Stern · 发表于：Journal of applied meteorology · 年份：1982 · DOI：10.1175/1520-0450(1982)021<0420:capdft>2.0.co;2 · 被引用次数：35 · 研究领域：Hydrology and Drought Analysis

The start of the rains is defined to be the first day, or two-day rain spell, in which greater than a specified total amount of rain occurs. A method of calculating the probability distribution of the start of the rains from a Markov chain model of the daily precipitation is given. The application of this method is illustrated with data from Samaru, Nigeria.