Management of Febrile Children in the Age of the Conjugate Pneumococcal Vaccine: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

作者：Grace Mee-Jeung Lee, GARY R. FLEISHER, Marvin B. Harper · 发表于：PEDIATRICS · 年份：2001 · DOI：10.1542/peds.108.4.835 · 被引用次数：113 · 研究领域：Pneumonia and Respiratory Infections、Pediatric Urology and Nephrology Studies、Bacterial Infections and Vaccines

OBJECTIVES: The optimal practice management of highly febrile 3- to 36-month-old children without a focal source has been controversial. The recent release of a conjugate pneumococcal vaccine may reduce the rate of occult bacteremia and alter the utility of empiric testing and treatment. The objective of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of 6 different management strategies of febrile 3- to 36-month-old children at current and declining rates of occult pneumococcal bacteremia. METHODS: A cost-effectiveness (CE) analysis was performed to compare the strategies of "no work-up," "clinical judgment," "blood culture," "blood culture + treatment," "complete blood count (CBC) + selective blood culture and treatment," and "CBC and blood culture + selective treatment." A hypothetical cohort of 100 000 children who were 3 to 36 months of age and had a fever of >/=39 degrees C and no source of infection was modeled for each strategy. Our main outcome measures were cases of meningitis prevented, life-years saved compared with "no work-up," total cost (1999 dollars), and incremental CE ratios. RESULTS: When compared with "no work-up," the strategy of "CBC + selective blood culture and treatment" using a white blood cell (WBC) cutoff of 15 x 10(9)/L prevents 48 cases of meningitis, saves 86 life-years per 100 000 patients, and is less costly at the current rate of bacteremia (1.5%). Using the strategy of "CBC + selective blood culture and treatment" with a lower WBC cutoff...