HOUSING AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE*

作者：Morris A. Davis, Jonathan Heathcote · 发表于：International Economic Review · 年份：2005 · DOI：10.1111/j.1468-2354.2005.00345.x · 被引用次数：582 · 研究领域：Housing Market and Economics、Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth、Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis

In the United States, the percentage standard deviation of residential investment is more than twice that of nonresidential investment. In addition, GDP, consumption, and both types of investment co‐move positively. We reproduce these facts in a calibrated multisector growth model where construction, manufacturing, and services are combined, in different proportions, to produce consumption, business investment, and residential structures. New housing requires land in addition to new structures. The model can also account for important features of industry‐level data. In particular, hours and output in all industries are positively correlated, and are most volatile in construction.