The Standard Error of Time-Average Estimates of Climatic Means

作者：C. E. Leith · 发表于：Journal of applied meteorology · 年份：1973 · DOI：10.1175/1520-0450(1973)012<1066:tseota>2.0.co;2 · 被引用次数：372 · 研究领域：Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations、Climate variability and models

Climate change studies with general circulation models require the estimation of climatic means by calculation of finite-time averages. A simple stochastic model is used to estimate the standard error of such an estimation method as a function of averaging time. Consequences for long-range forecasting are also discussed.