Worldwide fluctuations in dengue fever cases related to climate variability

作者：MJ Hopp, JA Foley · 发表于：Climate Research · 年份：2003 · DOI：10.3354/cr025085 · 被引用次数：138 · 研究领域：Mosquito-borne diseases and control、Viral Infections and Vectors、Malaria Research and Control

CR Climate Research Contact the journal Facebook Twitter RSS Mailing List Subscribe to our mailing list via Mailchimp HomeLatest VolumeAbout the JournalEditorsSpecials CR 25:85-94 (2003) - doi:10.3354/cr025085 Worldwide fluctuations in dengue fever cases related to climate variability Marianne J. Hopp1,3,*, Jonathan A. Foley2 1International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI), Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO), Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, Palisades, New York 10964, USA 2Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment (SAGE), Gaylord Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1710 University Avenue, Madison, Wisconsin 53726, USA 3Present address: 540 Foxview Place, Ottawa, Ontario, K1K 4C4, Canada *Email: mhopp@iri.columbia.edu ABSTRACT: Dengue fever is the most significant mosquito-borne viral disease of humans and is a leading cause of childhood deaths and hospitalizations in many countries. Variations in environmental conditions, especially climatic parameters, affect the dengue viruses and their principal mosquito vector, Aedes aegypti, but few studies have attempted to quantify these relationships at the global scale. Here we use a numerical model to simulate the response of Ae. aegypti to observed climatic variations from 1958 to 1995 and to examine how modelled Ae. aegypti populations may be related to dengue and DHF cases worldwide. We find that variations in climate can induce large variations in modelled ...