External validation of a prognostic CT-based radiomic signature in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma

作者：Ralph T. H. Leijenaar, Sara Carvalho, Frank J P Hoebers, Hugo J.W.L. Aerts, Wouter J. C. van Elmpt, Shao Hui Huang, Hon Biu Chan, John N. Waldron, Brian P O'Sullivan, Philippe Lambin · 发表于：Acta Oncologica · 年份：2015 · DOI：10.3109/0284186x.2015.1061214 · 被引用次数：223 · 研究领域：Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging、Head and Neck Cancer Studies、Advanced X-ray and CT Imaging

BACKGROUND: Oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is one of the fastest growing disease sites of head and neck cancers. A recently described radiomic signature, based exclusively on pre-treatment computed tomography (CT) imaging of the primary tumor volume, was found to be prognostic in independent cohorts of lung and head and neck cancer patients treated in the Netherlands. Here, we further validate this signature in a large and independent North American cohort of OPSCC patients, also considering CT artifacts. METHODS: A total of 542 OPSCC patients were included for which we determined the prognostic index (PI) of the radiomic signature. We tested the signature model fit in a Cox regression and assessed model discrimination with Harrell's c-index. Kaplan-Meier survival curves between high and low signature predictions were compared with a log-rank test. Validation was performed in the complete cohort (PMH1) and in the subset of patients without (PMH2) and with (PMH3) visible CT artifacts within the delineated tumor region. RESULTS: We identified 267 (49%) patients without and 275 (51%) with visible CT artifacts. The calibration slope (β) on the PI in a Cox proportional hazards model was 1.27 (H0: β = 1, p = 0.152) in the PMH1 (n = 542), 0.855 (H0: β = 1, p = 0.524) in the PMH2 (n = 267) and 1.99 (H0: β = 1, p = 0.002) in the PMH3 (n = 275) cohort. Harrell's c-index was 0.628 (p = 2.72e-9), 0.634 (p = 2.7e-6) and 0.647 (p = 5.35e-6) for the PMH1, PMH2 and PMH3 cohort...